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Space.com on MSNHow do scientists calculate the probability that an asteroid could hit Earth?
Any uncertainty in the calculation of the object’s orbit causes variations in the predicted solution. Instead of one precise orbit, the calculation usually gives scientists a cloud of its possible ...
The Earth is out of the way,” said Farnocchia. “But the moon is not.” Asteroid 2024 YR4, first spotted in December 2024, is ...
In the new study, researchers set out to calculate just how likely it is that an asteroid could hit Earth during the average ...
New information is pushing Asteroid 2024 YR4 off of our front pages. Initial estimates gave it a 2.8% chance of striking Earth in 2032. Now, the European Space Agency says the chance of it ...
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Asteroid 2024 YR4 May Miss Earth in 2032, But It’s Not Gone for Good
In a cosmic twist of fate, scientists have confirmed that asteroid 2024 YR4, a near-Earth asteroid previously thought to pose a significant threat, will not collide with our planet in 2032 ...
2024 YR4 was first discovered in December 2024. It's relatively small — just 130 to 300 feet (40 to 90 meters) across. But it's classified as an Apollo-type asteroid, meaning its orbit regularly ...
Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2.8% to 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Astronomers are tracking it to refine estimates of its size and orbit to see how much of a risk the space rock poses.
Even if YR4 does strike Earth — or the moon — it’s not considered a dinosaur-level threat. As asteroids go, YR4 is relatively small, measuring somewhere between 130 to 300 feet long.
The asteroid, called 2024 YR4, has less than a 1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Its impact probability will continue to be refined as more data is collected. NASA said that the possibility of ...
(CNN) — A recently discovered asteroid, named 2024 YR4, has a 2.8% to 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032, according to NASA and the European Space Agency. While the odds of an impact are slim ...
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